A Strategic Rift? U.S.–Honduras Military Cooperation Under Pressure

The U.S.–Honduras partnership is approaching a critical inflection point. A Strategic Rift? is a Strategic Intelligence Report that examines how rising political tensions—triggered by mass deportation threats and nationalist rhetoric—are putting decades of military cooperation at risk in Central America.

At the centre of this relationship lies Joint Task Force–Bravo (JTF-Bravo), headquartered at Soto Cano Air Base, a cornerstone of U.S. regional strategy since 1983. The report analyses how JTF-Bravo underpins counter-narcotics operations, disaster response, humanitarian assistance, and multilateral military coordination across six Central American nations. It then assesses why Honduran President Xiomara Castro’s criticism of U.S. immigration policy has raised the possibility of scaling back or ending this cooperation.

Beyond bilateral optics, the report evaluates strategic consequences: security vacuums that could empower transnational criminal networks, increased migration pressures, and expanded openings for external powers such as China and Russia to deepen influence in Central America. Scenario analysis outlines outcomes ranging from diplomatic recalibration to regional destabilisation.

Designed for policymakers, defence analysts, diplomats, investors, and geopolitical risk professionals, this intelligence product converts political signalling into forward-looking strategic clarity.

Security partnerships unravel quietly—until the consequences become irreversible. Following Global Eye Intelligence ensures you spot these fractures early, before regional balance and influence shift without warning.