Armenia’s Strategic Recalibration

Armenia stands at a decisive strategic inflection point. Armenia’s Strategic Recalibration is a Global Eye Intelligence report that unpacks how Yerevan is rethinking its security posture, alliances, and national strategy in the aftermath of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and the erosion of Russia’s reliability as a security guarantor.

The report analyses the drivers behind Armenia’s pivot away from near-exclusive dependence on Moscow—highlighting the impact of Azerbaijan’s military pressure, the Turkey-Azerbaijan axis, and Russia’s reduced influence following the Ukraine war. It examines Armenia’s diversification toward Western partners, Iran, and particularly India, with a focus on defence cooperation, intelligence sharing, and long-term resilience building.

Beyond geopolitics, the analysis evaluates economic vulnerabilities, energy and trade risks, and the domestic social impact of strategic realignment. Scenario assessments outline Armenia’s likely future path: balancing new partnerships while managing regional friction and short-term instability in the South Caucasus.

This report is essential reading for policymakers, defence analysts, investors, and geopolitical risk professionals tracking Eurasian power shifts.

Strategic pivots rarely happen twice. Those who understand Armenia’s recalibration early will see the next South Caucasus realignment before it hardens into a new status quo. Follow Global Eye Intelligence to stay ahead of emerging geopolitical shifts before they reshape regional security.