Belgium’s Power Shift - A Strategic European Governance Intelligence Report

How Bart De Wever’s Rise Signals a Rightward Turn in Belgium’s Politics, Security, and Economic Policy

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Belgium has entered a decisive political transition that could reshape its governance model and role within Europe. Belgium’s Power Shift is a Strategic Intelligence Report analysing the rise of Bart De Wever and the formation of the right-leaning “Arizona Coalition” following prolonged post-election negotiations.

This report unpacks the forces driving Belgium’s political realignment: economic stagnation, national debt pressures, rising migration inflows, security anxieties, and deep-rooted linguistic and regional divides between Flanders and Wallonia. It examines how De Wever’s Flemish nationalist New Flemish Alliance capitalised on voter frustration, positioning itself as the architect of stricter migration controls, fiscal discipline, defence spending increases aligned with NATO expectations, and a reassessment of Belgium’s nuclear energy phase-out.

Beyond domestic politics, the report evaluates broader European implications—how Belgium’s shift fits into a continent-wide trend toward nationalist and conservative governance, its impact on EU policymaking, migration coordination, and defence integration. Scenario analysis outlines risks to coalition stability, social cohesion, and regional balance, alongside pathways for controlled reform and institutional resilience.

Designed for policymakers, diplomats, investors, EU watchers, and geopolitical risk analysts, this product converts electoral change into strategic foresight.

European politics often shifts quietly—until policies harden. Following Global Eye Intelligence ensures you track these turning points early, before national transitions reshape Europe’s political and economic equilibrium.