Betrayal in Damascus: The Fall of Bashar al-Assad

The fall of Bashar al-Assad marks one of the most consequential turning points in West Asian geopolitics since the Arab Spring. Betrayal in Damascus is a Global Eye Intelligence conflict study that unpacks how Syria’s long-standing power structure collapsed—and why the aftermath may prove even more destabilising than the war itself.

This report traces the rapid fall of Damascus, the disintegration of the Syrian Arab Army, and the emergence of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) as the dominant force shaping Syria’s future. It analyses the strategic manoeuvres of external actors—Turkey’s military push in the north, Israel’s precision strikes, Russia’s waning leverage, Iran’s setback, and the United States’ recalibrated posture in eastern Syria. A detailed stakeholder and network mapping reveals how deception, miscalculation, and diverging agendas accelerated Assad’s downfall.

Beyond regime change, the report highlights the real risks ahead: territorial fragmentation, extremist resurgence, humanitarian collapse, and Syria’s transformation into a long-term proxy battlefield. Scenario-based insights outline possible trajectories—from fragile transition to prolonged chaos.

Regimes fall loudly, but consequences unfold quietly. Those who track Syria now will understand the next West Asia shock before it reshapes the region. Follow Global Eye Intelligence to stay ahead of conflict evolution and geopolitical deception shaping global security.