Bolivia’s Security Crisis

Bolivia is entering one of the most fragile phases of its democratic journey. Bolivia’s Security Crisis is a Strategic Intelligence Report that examines how deep political polarisation, unresolved legacies of the 2019 crisis, and growing street-level violence are converging into a national security challenge.

This report traces Bolivia’s trajectory from the rise of the Movement for Socialism (MAS) to the post-2019 unrest that reshaped political legitimacy and governance. It analyses the current fault lines between MAS factions, opposition groups, indigenous movements, and urban middle-class voters—revealing why protests, road blockades, and clashes with security forces have become recurring features of public life. Special focus is placed on President Luis Arce’s struggle to consolidate authority while managing internal party divisions and opposition pressure ahead of the 2025 elections.

Beyond politics, the report evaluates security-sector risks, economic vulnerabilities tied to extractive industries, declining investor confidence, and the possibility of electoral interference escalating unrest. Scenario analysis outlines pathways ranging from negotiated stabilisation to prolonged instability with regional spillover implications.

Designed for policymakers, investors, diplomats, security analysts, and Latin America risk professionals, this intelligence product converts political volatility into strategic foresight.

Security crises rarely erupt overnight—they accumulate quietly. Following Global Eye Intelligence ensures you identify these warning signals early, before political unrest hardens into systemic breakdown.