Central African Republic Election Field Set

The Central African Republic (CAR) is heading into a decisive and high-stakes electoral moment. Central African Republic Election Field Set delivers a structured intelligence assessment of the Constitutional Council’s decision to approve seven presidential candidates for the December 2025 election, including incumbent President Faustin-Archange Touadéra and former prime ministers Henri-Marie Dondra and Anicet-Georges Dologuélé.

This Africa Watch report unpacks why the ruling matters. While the court’s rejection of disqualification bids based on dual citizenship temporarily eases fears of exclusionary politics, it does not resolve deeper concerns surrounding Touadéra’s third-term bid enabled by the 2023 constitutional overhaul. The analysis examines how institutional fragility, fragmented opposition forces, and persistent rebel threats continue to shape an uneven electoral environment.

Crucially, the report situates the vote within CAR’s evolving security landscape, including the uncertain transition from Wagner forces to Russia’s state-run Africa Corps and the continued stabilising—but limited—role of MINUSCA. Regional spillover risks, African Union norm-setting challenges, and post-election instability scenarios are also assessed.

For policymakers, investors, and security analysts, this report offers early clarity on an election that will test governance credibility, external influence, and institutional resilience in Central Africa.

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Because elections in fragile states rarely fail on voting day—they unravel beforehand. Africa Watch tracks these fault lines early, before instability becomes inevitable.