Colombia’s Armed Struggle

Colombia’s internal conflict is far from resolved—it is mutating. Colombia’s Armed Struggle is a Strategic Conflict Intelligence Report that examines the violent escalation in the Catatumbo region, where the National Liberation Army (ELN) and FARC dissident factions are locked in a deadly contest over coca cultivation zones and trafficking corridors.

This report traces the historical roots of Colombia’s insurgency, from mid-20th-century ideological warfare to today’s criminalised armed groups embedded in illicit economies. It analyses why peace agreements weakened centralised insurgencies but empowered decentralised factions that now operate with greater autonomy, resilience, and brutality. Special focus is given to ELN’s binational footprint across Colombia and Venezuela, highlighting how porous borders amplify security risks, criminal flows, and diplomatic strain.

Beyond battlefield dynamics, the report assesses humanitarian fallout—mass displacement, civilian targeting, and pressure on already fragile local infrastructure. It evaluates Colombia’s military response, stalled peace talks, and the limits of force-only solutions, offering scenario-based insights into escalation, containment, or negotiated stabilisation.

Designed for policymakers, defence analysts, humanitarian planners, investors, and Latin America risk professionals, this intelligence product converts armed violence into strategic foresight.

Insurgencies don’t disappear—they adapt. Following Global Eye Intelligence ensures you track how conflicts evolve before they spill across borders and reshape regional security.