Europe Prepares for a Second Trump Administration

Europe is bracing for a geopolitical shock—and this time, it is doing so with eyes wide open. Europe Prepares for a Second Trump Administration is a Strategic Intelligence Report that examines how a renewed Trump presidency could fundamentally reshape NATO, European defence spending, and the balance of power between Washington, Brussels, and Moscow.

This report analyses President-elect Donald Trump’s renewed demand that NATO allies raise defence spending to 5% of GDP, a move that would upend Europe’s post–Cold War security model. It explains why the Ukraine war has forced European leaders to reassess long-held assumptions about peace dividends, U.S. military guarantees, and dependence on Russian energy. The report highlights widening perception gaps between the U.S. and Europe on Russia, security priorities, and the role of welfare versus military investment.

Strategic analysis explores internal NATO fractures, Europe’s fear of U.S. disengagement, and the reality that higher defence spending may disproportionately benefit U.S. defence contractors rather than Europe’s own industrial base. Scenario assessments evaluate whether Europe moves toward reluctant compliance, accelerated strategic autonomy, or deeper dependency on Washington’s security umbrella.

Designed for policymakers, defence analysts, investors, diplomats, and geopolitical risk professionals, this product converts political signalling into strategic foresight.

Power shifts are negotiated long before they are declared. Following Global Eye Intelligence ensures you stay ahead of these inflection points—before defence budgets, alliances, and Europe’s security future are rewritten without warning.