Georgia at the Crossroads: The 2024 Parliamentary Election & Its Geopolitical Fallout

The 2024 Georgian Parliamentary Election has emerged as a defining moment not just for Georgia’s domestic politics, but for the geopolitical balance between Russia and the West in the post-Soviet space. This Global Eye Intelligence report delivers a sharp, intelligence-led assessment of how electoral outcomes, public unrest, and external pressure are reshaping Georgia’s strategic trajectory.

The analysis examines Georgian Dream’s contentious victory, allegations of electoral manipulation, and the deepening polarization between pro-government forces and a fragmented opposition. It evaluates President Salome Zourabichvili’s rejection of the election’s legitimacy, the surge of mass protests in Tbilisi, and the growing risk of sustained civil unrest. Crucially, the report situates these developments within a broader geopolitical context—highlighting Georgia’s gradual drift toward Moscow through informal alignments, even as public sentiment remains strongly pro-EU and pro-NATO.

Threat assessments outline scenarios ranging from prolonged instability and authoritarian consolidation to renewed Western engagement and opposition realignment. For policymakers, investors, diplomats, and geopolitical risk analysts, this report offers early warning insight into whether Georgia will remain anchored to Europe—or slide further into Russia’s strategic orbit.

Political shifts don’t announce themselves with regime change—they begin with elections, protests, and silence from allies. Those who read Georgia now will understand the next Eurasian shock before it unfolds. Follow Global Eye Intelligence to stay ahead of democratic stress tests shaping the global order.