Georgia on the Brink: Protests, Power & the EU Question

Georgia has entered one of the most consequential political crises since independence. Georgia on the Brink is a Global Eye Intelligence analytical brief that examines the mass protests triggered by the government’s decision to delay EU accession talks until 2028—a move that ignited nationwide unrest and exposed deep fractures in Georgia’s political trajectory.

The report unpacks the confrontation between pro-EU protesters and state authorities, the growing rift between President Salome Zourabichvili and Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze, and the wider implications of alleged electoral irregularities in the 2024 elections. Long regarded as one of the most pro-Western societies in the post-Soviet space, Georgia now faces accusations of democratic backsliding and a quiet drift toward Russian influence.

Scenario analysis explores three possible paths: escalation and authoritarian consolidation, prolonged political deadlock and economic strain, or mediated reforms that could restore public trust and revive European integration. The report also assesses regional spillover risks for the South Caucasus, energy transit routes, and East-West geopolitical alignments.

Democratic crises rarely erupt without warning—they unfold through protest, paralysis, and external pressure. Those who track Georgia now will understand the next Eurasian shock before it destabilises the region. Follow Global Eye Intelligence to stay ahead of political inflection points shaping Europe’s eastern frontier.