Hegemony of the Dragon - China’s Role in the Myanmar Civil War

Myanmar’s civil war is no longer a purely internal conflict—it is a testing ground for regional power politics. Hegemony of the Dragon is a Strategic Intelligence Report that examines how China has emerged as the most influential external actor shaping outcomes in Myanmar since the 2021 military coup.

This report analyses Beijing’s calibrated strategy of engagement with all sides: sustained ties with the Tatmadaw, selective outreach to Ethnic Armed Organisations (EAOs), and tactical distance from the National Unity Government. It explains how China’s economic priorities—especially the China–Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC), energy pipelines, ports, and border trade—are driving its mediation posture rather than ideological alignment.

Special focus is placed on China’s hedging behaviour during key moments such as Operation 1027, its role in brokering limited talks, and its pressure on ethnic groups near the border to protect Chinese assets. The report also evaluates how the Malacca Dilemma, Western sanctions, and ASEAN’s constrained diplomacy shape Beijing’s risk calculus.

Beyond Myanmar, the analysis outlines regional and global implications: Southeast Asian security realignments, ASEAN cohesion stress, and the expanding contest between China and Western influence in mainland Asia.

Designed for policymakers, diplomats, defence analysts, investors, and Asia strategists, this product converts battlefield complexity into strategic foresight.

Power in Asia is exercised quietly, not loudly. Following Global Eye Intelligence ensures you understand how China shapes conflicts from behind the scenes—before today’s mediation becomes tomorrow’s dominance.