JCPOA at the Brink: Strategic Intelligence on Iran’s Nuclear Trajectory

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) once stood as the cornerstone of global nuclear non-proliferation. Today, it sits at the centre of escalating strategic uncertainty. This Global Eye Intelligence Strategic Intelligence Report delivers a clear-eyed assessment of the JCPOA’s evolution, collapse dynamics, and the far-reaching security implications now unfolding across West Asia and the global system.

The report examines the origins and objectives of the Iran nuclear deal, the impact of U.S. withdrawal, Iran’s shifting compliance posture, and the breakdown of diplomatic negotiations amid widening regional conflict. It maps how renewed enrichment activity, weakened inspection regimes, and diverging interests among major powers are reshaping deterrence calculations—raising the risk of nuclear proliferation, proxy escalation, and strategic miscalculation.

Beyond diplomacy, this assessment unpacks the “Axis of Resistance” strategy, regional reactions from Gulf states, and the broader implications for international non-proliferation frameworks. It also outlines forward-looking scenarios and strategic considerations for policymakers, intelligence analysts, and security planners navigating an increasingly volatile nuclear landscape.

Global Eye Intelligence reports are followed by those who cannot afford strategic surprise. Accessing this analysis means staying ahead of nuclear risk trajectories—before policy shifts, market reactions, and security escalations become unavoidable realities.