Myanmar’s Triple Threat: Civil War, Insurgency, and Regional Instability

Myanmar’s crisis has crossed the point of containment. What began as a military coup has evolved into a full-scale, multi-front civil war with direct consequences for regional security, humanitarian stability, and Indo-Pacific geopolitics. Myanmar’s Triple Threat is a Global Eye Intelligence Conflict Intelligence Report that dissects how civil war, ethnic insurgencies, and great-power manoeuvring are converging into a single destabilising vortex.

The report maps the Tatmadaw’s declining control, the rise of Ethnic Armed Organisations and People’s Defence Forces, and the rapid territorial shifts reshaping Myanmar’s internal balance of power. It examines intensified airstrikes, urban-rural insurgency coordination, and the erosion of central authority, while highlighting spillover risks into India’s Northeast, Thailand, China, and ASEAN border zones.

Beyond battlefield dynamics, the assessment evaluates humanitarian collapse, refugee flows, sanctions-driven economic breakdown, and competition over resources such as jade, rare earths, and timber. It also analyses China’s balancing strategy, ASEAN’s diplomatic paralysis, and why Myanmar risks becoming a permanent theatre for proxy competition and transnational insurgency.

This is decision-grade intelligence, not a news brief. Global Eye Intelligence is followed by policymakers and analysts who track instability before it hardens into irreversible regional crises. Missing this report means reacting late to one of Asia’s most dangerous fault lines.