Operation Days of Repentance: Israel’s Deep Strike and the New Rules of Iran Deterrence

Operation Days of Repentance marks one of the most consequential inflection points in the Israel–Iran shadow war—signalling a shift from calibrated signalling to demonstrative strategic reach. This intelligence product by Global Eye Intelligence delivers a structured, scenario-driven assessment of Israel’s pre-emptive air operations targeting Iranian missile production, air defence assets, and military-industrial infrastructure deep inside Iranian territory.

The analysis explains why this operation was designed not as escalation for escalation’s sake, but as a deterrence-reset mechanism. By striking across multiple provinces and bypassing layered air defences, Israel demonstrated intelligence penetration, operational reach, and the credibility of independent action—without triggering immediate full-scale retaliation. The report maps Iran’s response calculus, including psychological warfare narratives, proxy activation options, and the deliberate use of plausible deniability to avoid direct confrontation.

Beyond the bilateral dimension, the product evaluates regional and global implications: heightened proxy volatility across West Asia, pressure on Gulf states, U.S. restraint signalling, Russian diplomatic positioning, and the risk of miscalculation in a compressed escalation environment. Forward-looking scenarios assess whether this operation stabilises deterrence temporarily or accelerates a more dangerous cycle of indirect conflict.

Why this matters now: moments like these quietly rewrite escalation thresholds. Those who understand them early can anticipate the next phase of regional instability—before it becomes irreversible.

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