Rising Tide of Terror: Boko Haram Strikes Chad

The Lake Chad Basin is once again at the epicentre of violent extremism in Africa. Rising Tide of Terror is a Global Eye Intelligence conflict analysis that examines the renewed operational momentum of Boko Haram and ISWAP following the deadly attack on a Chadian military garrison, one of the most severe incidents in the region in recent years.

This report dissects how militant groups continue to exploit difficult terrain, porous borders, and intelligence gaps to strike high-value military targets before melting back into remote islands and marshlands. It evaluates Chad’s central role in regional counter-terrorism efforts, including its leadership within the Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJTF), while highlighting the mounting strain on its armed forces amid shifting alliances and declining Western military presence across the Sahel.

Beyond tactical analysis, the report situates the attack within a broader geopolitical context—marked by rising Russian influence, weakening regional coordination, humanitarian fallout, and the risk of extremist spillover into Central and West Africa. Scenario assessments outline the consequences of sustained instability for regional security, energy corridors, and international counter-terror frameworks.

Terror networks adapt faster than political responses. Those who understand the Lake Chad theatre early will anticipate Africa’s next major security rupture. Follow Global Eye Intelligence to stay ahead of evolving extremist threats before they escalate beyond control.