Sudan Civil War: State Breakdown at Africa’s Strategic Crossroads

The Sudan Civil War represents one of the most devastating and geopolitically consequential conflicts in Africa today. This Global Eye Intelligence report delivers a clear, intelligence-led analysis of the power struggle between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF)—a rivalry that has pushed Sudan toward state collapse.

Beginning with the failed political transition after the fall of Omar al-Bashir, the report traces how competing military elites, weak institutions, ethnic fragmentation, and the battle for control over oil, gold, and trade routes ignited full-scale civil war. It assesses the humanitarian toll—mass displacement, food insecurity, collapse of healthcare, and regional refugee spillovers—while mapping how violence has engulfed Khartoum, Darfur, and critical economic zones.

Crucially, the analysis situates Sudan within wider geopolitical dynamics, highlighting regional involvement, cross-border instability, and risks to Red Sea security and African trade corridors. Scenario forecasts outline whether Sudan drifts toward prolonged warlordism, external stabilisation, or a fragile renegotiated order.

Civil wars that control resources, borders, and migration flows rarely stay local. Those who understand Sudan now will anticipate Africa’s next major geopolitical shock before it ripples outward. Follow Global Eye Intelligence to stay ahead of under-reported conflicts shaping regional and global stability.