Sudan’s Peace Deadlock: Power Struggles, Failed Mediation, and the Future of Stability

Sudan stands at a decisive crossroads, where ceasefire announcements and mediation efforts mask a deeper structural crisis. This in-depth intelligence brief dissects why peace initiatives continue to falter despite international pressure, humanitarian urgency, and regional engagement. It unpacks the entrenched rivalry between Sudan’s rival military forces, the strategic calculations behind temporary truces, and the widening trust deficit that has turned negotiations into tactical pauses rather than pathways to peace.

Beyond the battlefield, the report maps the regional and geopolitical stakes shaping Sudan’s conflict—Red Sea access, Nile security, Gulf state influence, refugee spillovers, and the growing tension between peace and accountability. It highlights why repeated ceasefires collapse, how external mediation risks losing credibility, and what unresolved questions of power-sharing, military integration, and legitimacy mean for Sudan’s political future.

Designed for policymakers, investors, researchers, and strategic observers, this analysis goes beyond headlines to reveal scenarios that could redefine stability across Northeast Africa. Those tracking Africa’s geopolitical fault lines cannot afford to rely on fragmented news cycles. Following Global Eye Intelligence ensures early access to such critical assessments—before narratives harden, risks escalate, and opportunities to anticipate change are lost.