Trump 2.0 for Europe

A second Trump presidency is set to confront Europe with its most consequential strategic reckoning since the end of the Cold War. Trump 2.0 for Europe is a Strategic Intelligence Report that analyses how Washington’s renewed hardline posture could redefine NATO, defence spending norms, and Europe’s long-standing dependence on U.S. security guarantees.

This report examines President Trump’s demand that NATO members raise defence spending to 5% of GDP, far beyond the existing 2% benchmark, and what this means for European fiscal stability, political cohesion, and military-industrial priorities. It explores widening perception gaps between the U.S. and Europe on Russia, security threats, and the balance between welfare spending and military preparedness.

The analysis places Europe’s dilemma in sharp relief: increased defence budgets may largely benefit U.S. defence contractors while accelerating internal divisions within the EU, yet a U.S. withdrawal or strategic downgrading could invite Russian opportunism. Scenario analysis assesses outcomes ranging from reluctant compliance to accelerated European strategic autonomy—and the risks embedded in each path.

Designed for policymakers, defence analysts, diplomats, investors, and strategic planners, this product converts political signalling into forward-looking clarity.

Europe’s security future is being negotiated before headlines catch up. Following Global Eye Intelligence ensures you understand these inflection points early—before alliance structures, defence markets, and geopolitical balances reset without warning.