Ukraine Peace Process: Pathways, Power & the Limits of Global Mediation

As the Russia–Ukraine war enters a prolonged and destabilising phase, the Ukraine Peace Process has become one of the most complex diplomatic challenges of the 21st century. This Global Eye Intelligence report delivers a structured, theory-driven analysis of why peace remains elusive—and what credible pathways could still exist.

Drawing on Johan Galtung’s concept of positive peace, the report moves beyond ceasefire debates to examine the deeper structural, political, and socio-economic drivers of conflict. It analyses the positions of key stakeholders including Ukraine, Russia, NATO members, and mediators such as Turkey and Hungary, highlighting how sovereignty red lines, security guarantees, and competing national interests complicate negotiations.

The report assesses parallel diplomatic tracks, European fragmentation, NATO’s internal debates, and the growing role of non-Western actors in shaping post-war order. It also maps wider implications—from refugee flows and global governance failures to energy markets, sanctions regimes, and the emergence of a more fragmented multipolar world.

Forward-looking recommendations explore multilateral diplomacy, UN reform, neutral peacekeeping mechanisms, and long-term reconstruction frameworks—offering clarity amid diplomatic noise.

Peace processes don’t fail suddenly—they erode quietly. Those who understand Ukraine’s peace dynamics early will recognise the next global inflection point before it reshapes world order. Follow Global Eye Intelligence to stay ahead of strategic negotiations that define global stability.